The official speech on climate change has not changed and still emphasizes global warming, which relegates disruption to the background. Some famous climatologists keep on speaking of the (comfortable) threat of a gradual increase in temperature to which mankind would get used to, up to the fatal threshold when the earth will become inhospitable. When reading the figures which repeatedly show that a new temperature record has been broken and that the scientific community had underestimated the extent of the warming, I beieve that the value of its forecasts is very poor. My scepticism regarding his understanding of the phenomenon was therefore ustified (see article on October 23, 2019).

For the first time since the opening of my blog a year and a half ago, I just discovered in the newspaper Le Monde, that the ideas explained in my pages are shared by the Belgian climatologist Jean pascal van Ypersele, who also fears that “the climate change could make an increasingly large part of the planet uninhabitable ”.

Today, I have the feeling that the experts are lost while facing the extraordinary nature of climate change. Their complex scientific approach based either on analysis or experimentation comes up against the complexity of a global phenomenon which is by nature multifactorial, while the statistical approach comes up against the lack of history linked to the accidental and unprecedented nature of the climate change and in particular from the perspective of disruption. Guided by an “out of the box” thought, the simple reasoning presented in this blog is based on on common sense

This spring, I contacted by email about fifteen researchers in agronomy (from INRAE and CNRS) who are specialized into the climate issue. None of these colleagues didn’t react to the iconoclastic ideas that I had expressed in this blog and so, I wonder about the reason why of their silence; Lack of interest or unease about these ideas? Lack of time or laziness? Contempt for an agronomist foreign to the world of research? Here again, the lines don’t move an inch and the doxa still remains crystallized on solutions that seem to me to be obsolete. Skeptical about the use of organic farming associated with the shifting of crops northward or upstream of the cultivation calendar, I plan to release three articles this winter that highlight other options.